FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
FC Eindhoven
Jong Ajax
November 6, 2026 at 20:00 · Jan Louwers Stadion
Won
FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax prediction and betting tip for this Netherlands Eerste Divisie match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 20:00 at Jan Louwers Stadion. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.10), 85% confidence. Final score: 0-3 (0-1). The tip won.
FC Eindhoven 0-3 Jong Ajax: Match Report
Jong Ajax cruised to a 3-0 win away at FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie on Jumat. Jong Ajax led 1-0 at half-time.
Emre unuvar opened the scoring for Jong Ajax on 41 minutes. Levi Acheampong made it 0-2 on 53 minutes. Diego Pugno made it 0-3 on 76 minutes from the penalty spot.
FC Eindhoven had 59% of the ball and 14 shots (2 on target) to Jong Ajax's 15 (7). Expected goals finished FC Eindhoven 0.61, Jong Ajax 3, so Jong Ajax deserved the win.
Pharell Nash (Jong Ajax, 78') was sent off.
Our tip, Over 1.5 Goals, won with 3 goals in the game.
Goals & cards
- 41' emre unuvar Jong Ajax
- 53' Levi Acheampong Jong Ajax
- 74' Pharell Nash Jong Ajax · Yellow Card
- 76' Diego Pugno Jong Ajax · Penalty
- 78' Pharell Nash Jong Ajax · Red Card
Match stats
Before the match
FC Eindhoven hosted Jong Ajax in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie (matchday 14) on Jumat 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 GMT+0100 at Jan Louwers Stadion in Eindhoven.
FC Eindhoven have one draw and four defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-L-L-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Jong Ajax have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-D-D), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings FC Eindhoven have won 3, Jong Ajax 1, with 2 draws and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in Maret 2026, finished FC Eindhoven 2-1 Jong Ajax.
FC Eindhoven average 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. Jong Ajax average 1.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
Players to watch: E. Ünüvar leads Jong Ajax's scoring with 7 goals.
Line-ups: FC Eindhoven lined up in a 4-4-2, Jong Ajax in a 4-2-3-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made FC Eindhoven the favourites: FC Eindhoven 2.20, draw 4.00, Jong Ajax 2.80 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.36 and under at 3.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.36, no 3.00.
Our prediction was Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.0 goals a game.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Season stats
| FC Eindhoven | Jong Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 2 / 8 | 3 / 4 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 18 (1.4) | 19 (1.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 28 (2.2) | 30 (2.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 4-3-3 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- E. Ünüvar 7 goals · 0 assists
- D. Pugno 5 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
J. Borgmans, L. Netten, O. Renfrum, Predrag Jevtić, Raf van de Riet, R. Buifrahi, G. Beaumont, X. Blomme, V. Besuijen, H. Deenen, Kevin Ferreira
Coach: Jan Poortvliet
J. Heerkens, R. van de Pavert, G. Spina, M. Muzungu, J. Amour, T. Peters, L. Acheampong, E. Ünüvar, Alejandro Monserrate, P. Nash, D. Pugno
Coach: Carlos García
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 22:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.95 – 1.42 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven win | 50.0% |
| Draw | 22.0% |
| Jong Ajax win | 28.0% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 72.0% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 50.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56.5% |
| Both teams to score | 65.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 35%, draw 35%, away 30%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 19:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.0 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
FC Eindhoven
DLLLL
1.0 scored · 2.2 conceded per game
Jong Ajax
DLWDD
1.2 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 FC Eindhoven wins 2 draws 1 Jong Ajax wins last 6 meetings
- FC Eindhoven2 - 1Jong Ajax Eerste Divisie
- Jong Ajax1 - 3FC Eindhoven Eerste Divisie
- Jong Ajax0 - 2FC Eindhoven Eerste Divisie
- FC Eindhoven0 - 3Jong Ajax Eerste Divisie
- FC Eindhoven2 - 2Jong Ajax Eerste Divisie
- Jong Ajax1 - 1FC Eindhoven Eerste Divisie
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
