Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira
Colombia Primera A
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
November 8, 2026 at 00:10 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Upcoming
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 00:10 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.03), 95% confidence.
- Home Win Upcoming
Atletico Nacional 4-3 Deportivo Pereira: Match Report
Atletico Nacional beat Deportivo Pereira 4-3 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot in the Colombia Primera A on Minggu, coming from behind. Atletico Nacional led 2-1 at half-time.
F. Delgado opened the scoring for Deportivo Pereira on 10 minutes, set up by A. Plata. A. Morelos levelled for Atletico Nacional on 36 minutes, set up by J. Rengifo. A. Morelos put Atletico Nacional in front on 43 minutes, set up by J. Rengifo. M. Perez levelled for Deportivo Pereira on 63 minutes from the penalty spot. J. A. Bermudez Correa put Deportivo Pereira in front on 87 minutes, set up by E. A. Moreno Gomez. W. Tesillo levelled for Atletico Nacional on 89 minutes, set up by J. Campuzano. An own goal by Y. A. Gomez Palacio won it for Atletico Nacional in stoppage time (90+4').
Atletico Nacional had 73% of the ball and 25 shots (8 on target) to Deportivo Pereira's 11 (5). Expected goals finished Atletico Nacional 1.55, Deportivo Pereira 1.32, a close game on chances.
Referee Wilmar Hernando Montano Guevara showed 8 yellow cards.
Our tip, Atletico Nacional or draw (1X), won as Atletico Nacional won.
Goals & cards
- 10' F. Delgado Deportivo Pereira · assist A. Plata
- 31' J. Zapata Atletico Nacional · Yellow Card
- 36' A. Morelos Atletico Nacional · assist J. Rengifo
- 43' A. Morelos Atletico Nacional · assist J. Rengifo
- 45+2' D. Ortiz Deportivo Pereira · Yellow Card
- 48' E. Cabrera Atletico Nacional · Yellow Card
- 63' M. Perez Deportivo Pereira · Penalty
- 67' F. Mosquera Deportivo Pereira · Yellow Card
- 74' M. Aguirre Deportivo Pereira · Yellow Card
- 76' S. Velasquez Atletico Nacional · Yellow Card
- 87' J. A. Bermudez Correa Deportivo Pereira · assist E. A. Moreno Gomez
- 89' W. Tesillo Atletico Nacional · assist J. Campuzano
- 90+2' M. Perez Deportivo Pereira · Yellow Card
- 90+4' Y. A. Gomez Palacio Atletico Nacional · Own Goal
- 90+5' C. Haydar Atletico Nacional · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Atletico Nacional hosted Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 18) on Minggu 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:10 GMT+0100 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot in Medellin. Wilmar Hernando Montano Guevara was the referee.
Atletico Nacional are 1st in the table with 36 points from 17 games (11-3-3), while Deportivo Pereira sit 16th on 17 points. Atletico Nacional have a 19-point advantage. At home Atletico Nacional have won 6 of 8; Deportivo Pereira have won 1 of 8 on the road.
Atletico Nacional have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (L-W-W-W-D), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Deportivo Pereira have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-W-D-W-L), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Atletico Nacional have won 2, Deportivo Pereira 3, with 1 draw and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Atletico Nacional.
Atletico Nacional average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 14 clean sheets and 11 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Deportivo Pereira average 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 17 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2.
Players to watch: A. Morelos leads Atletico Nacional's scoring with 14 goals and 6 assists.
Line-ups: Atletico Nacional lined up in a 4-4-2, Deportivo Pereira in a 4-5-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Atletico Nacional the favourites: Atletico Nacional 1.18, draw 6.50, Deportivo Pereira 15.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.50 and under at 2.50. Both teams to score: yes 2.20, no 1.62.
Our prediction was Atletico Nacional or draw (1X). The model gives Atletico Nacional or a draw a 90% chance, Atletico Nacional have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 15 places above Deportivo Pereira.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +19 | 36 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -9 | 17 |
Season stats
| Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 42 | 36 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 29 / 4 / 9 | 4 / 15 / 17 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 82 (2.0) | 28 (0.8) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 35 (0.8) | 54 (1.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.4 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 14 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 11 | 17 |
| Longest winning run | 5 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 7-1 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 5-3-2 |
Top scorers
- A. Morelos 14 goals · 6 assists
- A. Sarmiento 11 goals · 7 assists
- E. Cardona 10 goals · 4 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Franco Armani, Andrés Román, Andres Reyes, César Haydar, Samuel Velásquez, Elías Cabrera, Jorman Campuzano, Juan Zapata, Andrés Sarmiento, Alfredo Morelos, Juan Manuel Rengifo
Yimy Gómez, Jordy Monroy, Sebastián Urrea, Danilo Ortiz, Fabio Delgado, Anderson Plata, Jorge Bermúdez, Luis Moreno, Felipe Mosquera, Miguel Palacios, Jhon Largacha
Data: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.33 – 0.44 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional win | 80.1% |
| Draw | 14.5% |
| Deportivo Pereira win | 5.4% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 94.7% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 19.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69.9% |
| Both teams to score | 31.9% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 Nov 2026, 23:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Atletico Nacional or draw (1X) — The model gives Atletico Nacional or a draw a 90% chance, Atletico Nacional have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 15 places above Deportivo Pereira.
Form (last 5)
Atletico Nacional
LWWWD
1.6 scored · 0.6 conceded per game
Deportivo Pereira
DWDWL
1.2 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Atletico Nacional wins 1 draws 3 Deportivo Pereira wins last 6 meetings
- Deportivo Pereira1 - 0Atletico Nacional Primera A
- Deportivo Pereira2 - 1Atletico Nacional Primera A
- Atletico Nacional3 - 0Deportivo Pereira Primera A
- Deportivo Pereira1 - 1Atletico Nacional Primera A
- Atletico Nacional0 - 1Deportivo Pereira Primera A
- Atletico Nacional3 - 1Deportivo Pereira Copa Colombia
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:59. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
