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Zambia vs Burundi

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Zambia Zambia
VS
Burundi Burundi

November 13, 2026 at 14:00 · Levy Mwanawasa Stadium

Lost

Predicted Outcome Home Win
Final Score 1-1 (0-0)

Zambia vs Burundi prediction and betting tip for this Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification match, kicking off November 13, 2026 at 14:00 at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium. Our tip: Home Win (odds 1.62). Final score: 1-1 (0-0). The tip lost.

Zambia 1-1 Burundi: Match Report

Zambia and Burundi shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Jumat. It was goalless at half-time.

Edward Chilufya opened the scoring for Zambia on 65 minutes, set up by A. Kangwanda. J. Girumugisha levelled for Burundi on 82 minutes, set up by Gael Bigirimana.

Zambia had 55% of the ball and 12 shots (3 on target) to Burundi's 10 (4). Expected goals finished Zambia 1.03, Burundi 1.02, so a draw was a fair result.

Referee Washington Dolo showed 4 yellow cards.

Our tip, Zambia to win (1), lost as the game ended level.

Goals & cards

  • 27' David Hamansenya Zambia · Yellow Card
  • 36' Dominic Chanda Zambia · Yellow Card
  • 63' Omar Moussa Burundi · Yellow Card
  • 65' Edward Chilufya Zambia · assist A. Kangwanda
  • 82' J. Girumugisha Burundi · assist Gael Bigirimana
  • 90+2' Gael Bigirimana Burundi · Yellow Card

Match stats

ZambiaBurundi
55% 45% Possession
1.03 1.02 Expected goals (xG)
12 10 Shots
3 4 Shots on target
5 2 Corners
2 2 Saves
13 10 Fouls
2 1 Offsides
2 2 Yellow cards
0 0 Red cards

Before the match

Zambia hosted Burundi in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Jumat 13 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 GMT+0100 at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium in Ndola. Washington Dolo was the referee.

Zambia are 2nd in the table with 3 points from 2 games (1-0-1), while Burundi sit 4th on 1 points. Only 2 points separate them. At home Zambia have won 1 of 1; Burundi have won 0 of 1 on the road.

Zambia have one win and one defeat in their last 2 league games (L-W), averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Burundi have two wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 4 league games (W-W-L-D), averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.

In their last 2 meetings Zambia have won 1, Burundi 0, with 1 draw and an average of 0.5 goals per game. The most recent, in Desember 2013, finished Zambia 0-0 Burundi.

Zambia average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Burundi average 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.

Line-ups: Zambia lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Burundi in a 3-4-3.

Before kick-off, bookmakers made Zambia the favourites: Zambia 1.62, draw 3.25, Burundi 5.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.35 and under at 1.57. Both teams to score: yes 2.38, no 1.53.

Our prediction was Zambia to win (1). The model makes Zambia favourites at 45% and the bookmakers agree (1.62).

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
2Zambia210103
4Burundi2011-11

Season stats

ZambiaBurundi
Played24
Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 0 / 12 / 1 / 1
Goals scored (per game)3 (1.5)10 (2.5)
Goals conceded (per game)3 (1.5)3 (0.8)
Scored at home / away (per game)2.0 / 1.03.0 / 2.0
Clean sheets12
Failed to score01
Longest winning run02
Biggest win2-04-0
Usual formation4-2-3-14-3-3

Odds (Bet365)

Zambia1.62 Draw3.25 Burundi5.50 1X1.10 121.25 X22.15 Over 1.51.44 Under 1.52.62 Over 3.54.33 Under 3.51.20 Over 2.52.35 Under 2.51.57 BTTS Yes2.38 BTTS No1.53

Odds before kick-off.

Starting line-ups

Zambia (4-2-3-1)

Willard Mwanza, M. Banda, Ricky Chanda, Dominic Chanda, D. Hamansenya, Prince Mumba, M. Chaiwa, E. Chilufya, A. Kangwanda, F. Sakala, Derrick Bulaya

Coach: M. Sichone

Burundi (3-4-3)

J. Nahimana, Y. Ndayishimiye, F. Nsabiyumva, Omar Moussa, E. Swedi, Mokono Elie Eldhino, H. Msanga, A. Muderi, B. Kanakimana, Asman ndikumana, J. Girumugisha

Coach: P. Sangwa

Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 16:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

API-Football win probability (for comparison)

Zambia 45% Draw 45% Burundi 10%

Our tip: Zambia to win (1) — The model makes Zambia favourites at 45% and the bookmakers agree (1.62).

Form (last 5)

Zambia LW 1.5 scored · 1.5 conceded per game
Burundi WWLD 2.5 scored · 0.8 conceded per game

Team comparison

ZambiaBurundi
30% 70% Form
23% 77% Attack
50% 50% Defence
100% 0% Poisson
80% 20% Head-to-head
100% 0% Goals
46% 54% Overall

Head-to-head

1 Zambia wins 1 draws 0 Burundi wins last 2 meetings

  • Zambia0 - 0Burundi CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup
  • Zambia1 - 0Burundi CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup

Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).