Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns
China Super League
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
November 8, 2026 at 08:30 · Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium
Won
Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns prediction and betting tip for this China Super League match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 08:30 at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.05), 94% confidence. Final score: 2-1 (1-0). The tip won.
Yunnan Yukun 2-1 Wuhan Three Towns: Match Report
Yunnan Yukun beat Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium in the China Super League on Minggu. Yunnan Yukun led 1-0 at half-time.
O. Taty Maritu opened the scoring for Yunnan Yukun on 15 minutes, set up by Zhang Chenliang. O. Taty Maritu made it 2-0 on 86 minutes from the penalty spot. J. Cadiz pulled one back for Wuhan Three Towns in stoppage time (90+1') from the penalty spot.
Wuhan Three Towns had 56% of the ball, while Yunnan Yukun had 14 shots (4 on target) to Wuhan Three Towns's 10 (2).
Referee Yan Lifu showed 1 yellow card.
Our tip, Over 1.5 Goals, won with 3 goals in the game.
Goals & cards
- 15' O. Taty Maritu Yunnan Yukun · assist Zhang Chenliang
- 62' Adriano Firmino Wuhan Three Towns · Yellow Card
- 83' Ming Tian Wuhan Three Towns · Yellow Card
- 86' O. Taty Maritu Yunnan Yukun · Penalty
- 87' O. Taty Maritu Yunnan Yukun · Yellow Card
- 90+1' J. Cadiz Wuhan Three Towns · Penalty
Match stats
Before the match
Yunnan Yukun hosted Wuhan Three Towns in the China Super League (matchday 30) on Minggu 8 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 GMT+0100 at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium. Yan Lifu was the referee.
Yunnan Yukun are 6th in the table with 40 points from 29 games (11-7-11), while Wuhan Three Towns sit 15th on 22 points. Yunnan Yukun have a 18-point advantage. At home Yunnan Yukun have won 8 of 14; Wuhan Three Towns have won 1 of 14 on the road.
Yunnan Yukun have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-D-D), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. Wuhan Three Towns have two draws and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-D-L-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded.
In their last 3 meetings Yunnan Yukun have won 1, Wuhan Three Towns 1, with 1 draw and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in Mei 2026, finished Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Yunnan Yukun.
Yunnan Yukun average 2.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3. Wuhan Three Towns average 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
Players to watch: O. Maritu leads Yunnan Yukun's scoring with 21 goals and 9 assists; J. Cádiz leads Wuhan Three Towns's scoring with 21 goals and 6 assists.
Line-ups: Yunnan Yukun lined up in a 4-3-3, Wuhan Three Towns in a 4-4-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Yunnan Yukun the favourites: Yunnan Yukun 1.48, draw 5.00, Wuhan Three Towns 5.25 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.22 and under at 4.20. Both teams to score: yes 1.30, no 3.40.
Our prediction was Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.8 goals, their last 3 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 4.4 goals a game.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 40 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 22 |
Season stats
| Yunnan Yukun | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 29 | 29 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 11 / 7 / 11 | 5 / 12 / 12 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 57 (2.0) | 44 (1.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 60 (2.1) | 55 (1.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-3-3 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
- O. Maritu 21 goals · 9 assists
- Cléber 14 goals · 5 assists
- J. Cádiz 21 goals · 6 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Jianxian Yu, Wang-Kit Tsui, Chenliang Zhang, Andrei Burcă, Zihao Yang, Alexandru Ioniță, Xin Xu, Caio Vinícius, Bunyamin Abdusalam, Cléber, Oscar Taty Maritu
Guo Jiayu, Ming Tian, Guan He, Ang Li, Denny Wang Yi, Antoine Leautey, Xiaobing Zhang, Adriano Firmino, Kilian Bevis, Jizheng Xiong, Jhonder Cádiz
Data: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 10:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.73 – 1.68 · most likely score 2-1 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Yunnan Yukun win | 59.9% |
| Draw | 17.6% |
| Wuhan Three Towns win | 22.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 77.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 40.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 18.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 35.8% |
| Both teams to score | 76.1% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 8 Nov 2026, 07:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.8 goals, their last 3 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 4.4 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Yunnan Yukun
LWLDD
1.6 scored · 3.0 conceded per game
Wuhan Three Towns
DLDLL
1.4 scored · 2.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Yunnan Yukun wins 1 draws 1 Wuhan Three Towns wins last 3 meetings
- Wuhan Three Towns1 - 1Yunnan Yukun Super League
- Yunnan Yukun2 - 1Wuhan Three Towns Super League
- Wuhan Three Towns3 - 1Yunnan Yukun Super League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
