Exeter City vs Cheltenham
England League Two
Exeter City
Cheltenham
November 14, 2026 at 13:30 · St James Park
Upcoming
Exeter City vs Cheltenham prediction and betting tip for this England League Two match, kicking off November 14, 2026 at 13:30 at St James Park. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.25), 82% confidence.
Exeter City vs Cheltenham Preview
Exeter City host Cheltenham in the England League Two (matchday 15) on Sabtu 14 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 GMT+0100 at St James Park in Exeter.
Exeter City are 12th in the table with 19 points from 14 games (5-4-5), while Cheltenham sit 5th on 21 points. Only 2 points separate them. At home Exeter City have won 4 of 7; Cheltenham have won 1 of 7 on the road.
Exeter City have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-W-L), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Cheltenham have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-W-W-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Exeter City have won 2, Cheltenham 3, with 1 draw and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in September 2026, finished Cheltenham 2-2 Exeter City.
Exeter City average 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets and 6 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Cheltenham average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: C. McCann leads Cheltenham's scoring with 9 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Exeter City the favourites: Exeter City 1.90, draw 3.50, Cheltenham 3.80 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.95 and under at 1.85. Both teams to score: yes 1.80, no 1.91.
Our prediction: Exeter City or draw (1X). The model gives Exeter City or a draw a 90% chance, Exeter City have won 3 of their last 5 and they are unbeaten in 7 of 7 home games.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
Season stats
| Exeter City | Cheltenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 14 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 5 / 4 / 5 | 6 / 3 / 5 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 11 (0.8) | 23 (1.6) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 9 (0.6) | 25 (1.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 2.0 / 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 4-2 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-1-4-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- C. McCann 9 goals · 1 assist
- J. Evans 4 goals · 4 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 19:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.55 – 0.74 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 86/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Exeter City win | 56.6% |
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Cheltenham win | 17.9% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 82.1% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 43.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59.8% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80.1% |
| Both teams to score | 41.3% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 14 Nov 2026, 01:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Exeter City or draw (1X) — The model gives Exeter City or a draw a 90% chance, Exeter City have won 3 of their last 5 and they are unbeaten in 7 of 7 home games.
Form (last 5)
Exeter City
WDWWL
1.2 scored · 0.6 conceded per game
Cheltenham
LLWWL
1.4 scored · 2.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Exeter City wins 1 draws 3 Cheltenham wins last 6 meetings
- Cheltenham2 - 2Exeter City EFL Trophy
- Cheltenham2 - 0Exeter City League Cup
- Cheltenham1 - 2Exeter City League One
- Exeter City1 - 0Cheltenham League One
- Cheltenham3 - 1Exeter City League One
- Exeter City0 - 1Cheltenham League One
Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 19:59. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
