Eibar vs Cadiz
Spain Segunda División
Eibar
Cadiz
November 15, 2026 at 18:30 · Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Upcoming
Eibar vs Cadiz prediction and betting tip for this Spain Segunda División match, kicking off November 15, 2026 at 18:30 at Ipurua Municipal Stadium. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.14), 83% confidence.
Eibar vs Cadiz Preview
Eibar host Cadiz in the Spain Segunda División (matchday 14) on Minggu 15 November 2026, kick-off 18:30 GMT+0100 at Ipurua Municipal Stadium in Eibar.
Eibar are 4th in the table with 23 points from 12 games (7-2-3), while Cadiz sit 20th on 10 points. Eibar have a 13-point advantage. At home Eibar have won 3 of 6; Cadiz have won 0 of 5 on the road.
Eibar have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-D-L-D), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Cadiz have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-W-L-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Eibar have won 2, Cadiz 3, with 1 draw and an average of 1.5 goals per game. The most recent, in Maret 2026, finished Eibar 3-1 Cadiz.
Eibar average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Cadiz average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Iván Gil leads Eibar's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist; Antonio Cordero leads Cadiz's scoring with 5 goals and 2 assists.
Bookmakers make Eibar the favourites: Eibar 1.62, draw 3.75, Cadiz 5.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.75 and under at 2.05. Both teams to score: yes 1.80, no 1.91.
Our prediction: Eibar or draw (1X). The model gives Eibar or a draw a 90% chance, Cadiz have lost 4 of their last 5 and Eibar sit 4th, 16 places above Cadiz.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 10 |
Season stats
| Eibar | Cadiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 12 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 7 / 2 / 3 | 2 / 4 / 7 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 21 (1.8) | 16 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 14 (1.2) | 18 (1.4) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 7 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- Iván Gil 4 goals · 1 assist
- Antonio Cordero 5 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 14 Nov 2026, 00:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.87 – 0.87 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 95/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 61.0% | 57.9% | 1.62 | -1.2% |
| Draw | 22.1% | 25.0% | 3.75 | -17.2% |
| Cadiz win | 16.9% | 17.1% | 5.50 | -6.9% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 83.1% | 82.9% | 1.14 | -5.3% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 39.0% | 42.1% | 2.25 | -12.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.8% | 76.6% | 1.22 | -7.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.6% | 53.9% | 1.75 | -9.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.4% | 46.1% | 2.05 | -0.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70.6% | 66.3% | 1.40 | -1.2% |
| Both teams to score | 49.1% | 51.5% | 1.80 | -11.7% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 14 Nov 2026, 00:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Eibar or draw (1X) — The model gives Eibar or a draw a 90% chance, Cadiz have lost 4 of their last 5 and Eibar sit 4th, 16 places above Cadiz.
Form (last 5)
Eibar
WLDLD
1.2 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Cadiz
LLWLL
1.0 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Eibar wins 1 draws 3 Cadiz wins last 6 meetings
- Eibar3 - 1Cadiz Segunda División
- Cadiz1 - 0Eibar Segunda División
- Cadiz0 - 0Eibar Segunda División
- Eibar1 - 0Cadiz Segunda División
- Cadiz1 - 0Eibar La Liga
- Eibar0 - 2Cadiz La Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 14 Nov 2026, 00:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
