Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
November 6, 2026 at 18:30 · Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden
Won
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction and betting tip for this Germany: 2. Bundesliga match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 18:30 at Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.16), 82% confidence. Final score: 3-0 (2-0). The tip won.
Dynamo Dresden 3-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Match Report
Dynamo Dresden thrashed SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-0 at Rudolf-Harbig Stadion in the Germany 2. Bundesliga on Jumat. Dynamo Dresden led 2-0 at half-time.
Robert Wagner opened the scoring for Dynamo Dresden on 31 minutes, set up by Niklas Hauptmann. Ben Bobzien made it 2-0 on 41 minutes, set up by Tobias Raschl. Vincent Vermeij made it 3-0 on 55 minutes, set up by Ben Bobzien.
Dynamo Dresden had 52% of the ball and 11 shots (4 on target) to SpVgg Greuther Fürth's 20 (5). Expected goals finished Dynamo Dresden 1.92, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.22, so Dynamo Dresden deserved the win.
Hendry. Blank (SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 62') was sent off. Referee Michael Bacher showed 1 yellow card.
Our tip, Over 1.5 Goals, won with 3 goals in the game.
Goals & cards
- 1' Hendry. Blank SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Yellow Card
- 31' Robert Wagner Dynamo Dresden · assist Niklas Hauptmann
- 41' Ben Bobzien Dynamo Dresden · assist Tobias Raschl
- 50' Nicolai Rapp Dynamo Dresden · Yellow Card
- 55' Vincent Vermeij Dynamo Dresden · assist Ben Bobzien
- 62' Hendry. Blank SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Red Card
Match stats
Before the match
Dynamo Dresden hosted SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the Germany 2. Bundesliga (matchday 11) on Jumat 6 November 2026, kick-off 18:30 GMT+0100 at Rudolf-Harbig Stadion in Dresden. Michael Bacher was the referee.
Dynamo Dresden are 18th in the table with 8 points from 10 games (2-2-6), while SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 9th on 12 points. SpVgg Greuther Fürth have a 4-point advantage. At home Dynamo Dresden have won 2 of 4; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 1 of 5 on the road.
Dynamo Dresden have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-L-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. SpVgg Greuther Fürth have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-L-W), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Dynamo Dresden have won 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3, with 2 draws and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in Januari 2026, finished Dynamo Dresden 2-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Dynamo Dresden average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. SpVgg Greuther Fürth average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
Players to watch: F. Klaus leads SpVgg Greuther Fürth's scoring with 7 goals and 1 assist.
Line-ups: Dynamo Dresden lined up in a 4-2-3-1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth in a 4-2-3-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Dynamo Dresden the favourites: Dynamo Dresden 1.91, draw 3.60, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65 and under at 2.20. Both teams to score: yes 1.57, no 2.25.
Our prediction was Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.1 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 2.4 goals a game.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
Season stats
| Dynamo Dresden | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 10 | 10 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 12 (1.2) | 13 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 20 (2.0) | 16 (1.6) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- F. Klaus 7 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
L. Grill, J. Sterner, N. Rapp, A. Muhamedbegović, S. Straudi, R. Wagner, T. Raschl, P. Čović, N. Hauptmann, B. Bobzien, V. Vermeij
Coach: Thomas Stamm
Florian Hellstern, J. Dehm, J. Heuer, Hendry Aron Blank, G. Itter, S. Bansé, P. Will, F. Klaus, S. Appelkamp, Ole Pohlmann, O. Sillah
Coach: H. Vogel
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 20:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.95 – 1.16 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden win | 55.6% |
| Draw | 21.9% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth win | 22.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 77.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 44.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62.2% |
| Both teams to score | 59.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 17:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.1 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 2.4 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Dynamo Dresden
LDWLL
1.0 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
DLWLW
1.0 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Dynamo Dresden wins 2 draws 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins last 6 meetings
- Dynamo Dresden2 - 0SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2. Bundesliga
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth3 - 2Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
- Dynamo Dresden1 - 1SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
- SpVgg Greuther Furth2 - 0Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
- SpVgg Greuther Furth0 - 0Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
- Dynamo Dresden0 - 1SpVgg Greuther Furth 2. Bundesliga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 14:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
